New Mexico St.
Western Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.2#98
Expected Predictive Rating+6.5#83
Pace60.4#343
Improvement+4.4#34

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#81
First Shot+0.0#182
After Offensive Rebound+3.4#8
Layup/Dunks-0.5#186
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#328
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#25
Freethrows-1.7#288
Improvement+4.1#16

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#121
First Shot-0.4#183
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#17
Layups/Dunks+2.3#84
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#301
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#236
Freethrows+0.4#149
Improvement+0.3#160
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round17.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.8% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 34 - 45 - 6
Quad 418 - 023 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2019 188   @ UTEP L 50-65 63%     0 - 1 -13.2 -14.6 +0.1
  Nov 14, 2019 261   Southern W 79-63 90%     1 - 1 +7.1 +7.5 +0.5
  Nov 17, 2019 18   @ Arizona L 53-83 14%     1 - 2 -13.3 -9.5 -4.4
  Nov 21, 2019 139   New Mexico L 77-78 73%     1 - 3 -2.1 +1.1 -3.2
  Nov 25, 2019 101   Colorado St. W 78-70 OT 51%     2 - 3 +12.9 -0.5 +12.8
  Nov 26, 2019 115   South Florida W 65-45 55%     3 - 3 +23.9 +8.6 +18.9
  Nov 27, 2019 169   George Mason L 64-68 69%     3 - 4 -3.9 +1.3 -5.8
  Dec 03, 2019 188   UTEP W 59-56 81%     4 - 4 -1.3 -8.3 +7.3
  Dec 07, 2019 122   @ Washington St. L 54-63 46%     4 - 5 -2.8 -12.6 +9.5
  Dec 10, 2019 311   @ Denver W 72-67 84%     5 - 5 -0.5 -5.5 +4.7
  Dec 14, 2019 139   @ New Mexico L 62-69 51%     5 - 6 -2.1 -8.9 +6.7
  Dec 18, 2019 348   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 65-40 98%     6 - 6 +3.9 +2.9 +6.5
  Dec 22, 2019 47   Mississippi St. W 58-52 33%     7 - 6 +15.7 -3.9 +20.6
  Jan 04, 2020 201   @ California Baptist W 86-71 66%     8 - 6 1 - 0 +16.0 +16.1 +0.9
  Jan 09, 2020 353   Chicago St. W 93-54 99%     9 - 6 2 - 0 +12.9 +2.9 +8.5
  Jan 11, 2020 231   UMKC W 74-71 87%     10 - 6 3 - 0 -3.9 +1.2 -5.0
  Jan 16, 2020 255   @ Utah Valley W 70-56 76%     11 - 6 4 - 0 +11.6 +1.4 +10.9
  Jan 18, 2020 211   @ Seattle W 75-67 68%     12 - 6 5 - 0 +8.4 +6.7 +2.2
  Jan 25, 2020 244   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 67-62 74%     13 - 6 6 - 0 +3.4 +1.7 +2.3
  Jan 30, 2020 263   Cal St. Bakersfield W 61-57 90%     14 - 6 7 - 0 -4.9 -1.6 -2.5
  Feb 01, 2020 250   Grand Canyon W 72-52 89%     15 - 6 8 - 0 +11.7 +3.5 +11.5
  Feb 06, 2020 353   @ Chicago St. W 71-49 98%     16 - 6 9 - 0 +1.9 -1.3 +6.7
  Feb 08, 2020 231   @ UMKC W 67-61 72%     17 - 6 10 - 0 +5.1 +8.2 -1.9
  Feb 13, 2020 211   Seattle W 72-64 84%     18 - 6 11 - 0 +2.4 -1.6 +4.3
  Feb 15, 2020 255   Utah Valley W 84-82 89%     19 - 6 12 - 0 -6.4 +16.8 -23.0
  Feb 22, 2020 244   UT Rio Grande Valley W 78-62 88%     20 - 6 13 - 0 +8.3 +6.2 +3.1
  Feb 27, 2020 250   @ Grand Canyon W 67-53 76%     21 - 6 14 - 0 +11.7 +2.1 +12.3
  Feb 29, 2020 263   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 62-46 78%     22 - 6 15 - 0 +13.1 +5.2 +12.0
  Mar 05, 2020 201   California Baptist W 83-50 83%     23 - 6 16 - 0 +28.0 +13.1 +18.3
Projected Record 23 - 6 16 - 0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.6 4.4 37.9 51.8 5.8 0.0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.6 4.4 37.9 51.8 5.8 0.0